Party Elites in the 2008 Presidential Nomination Campaigns

Crashing the Party? Elites, Outsiders, and Elections∗

We study an elections model in which political parties are internally divided between an “elite” and a “base” whose preferences are imperfectly aligned. Elites are better informed about the quality of potential nominees, and their endorsements can identify and promote high quality candidates. However, elites may also choose to restrict their endorsements to candidates who adopt their preferred ...

Indonesian's presidential social media campaigns

Social media has been used for political campaigns of presidential candidates in a number of democratic countries, including Indonesia.The candidates for president and vice president have been following the latest trends in the virtual world by using social media such as: 1) Facebook, and 2) Twitter.The author's continuing research with a focus on the popularity of candidates for president and ...

Presidential Campaigns and the Fundamentals Reconsidered

The contrast between the predictability of presidential elections and the variability of early polls has come to be viewed as evidence that campaigns provide crucial information to voters. We argue that unmotivated survey respondents offering minimally acceptable answers (i.e., satisficing) offers an additional explanation for the classic conundrum of why the polls vary when the election outcom...

Expectations and Preferences in Presidential Nominating Campaigns

When Have Presidential Campaigns Decided Election Outcomes?